“Today,” Mattis warned, “every domain is contested-air, land, sea, space, and cyberspace.” 3 As a result, in the past two decades, the United States has been forced to retreat from a strategy based on primacy and dominance to one of deterrence. We could generally deploy our forces when we wanted, assemble them where we wanted, and operate how we wanted.” 2 But that was then. 1 As former Secretary of Defense James Mattis put it starkly in his 2018 National Defense Strategy, “For decades the United States has enjoyed uncontested or dominant superiority in every operating domain. military primacy is over: dead, buried, and gone-except in the minds of some political leaders and policy analysts who have not examined the hard facts. This article presents three major theses concerning the military rivalry between China and the United States in this century. carriers moved that close to the Chinese mainland now, they could be sunk by the DF-21 and DF-26 missiles that China has since developed and deployed. If China were to repeat the same missile tests today, it is highly unlikely that the United States would respond as it did in 1996.
In response, in a show of superiority that forced China to back down, the United States deployed two aircraft carriers to Taiwan’s adjacent waters. A quarter-century ago, China conducted what it called “missile tests” bracketing the island of Taiwan to deter it from a move toward independence by demonstrating that China could cut Taiwan’s ocean lifelines.
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